Budget Changes Impacting Employment
- Employer National Insurance (NIC) Hike
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- From 6 April 2025, employer NICs increased from 13.8% to 15%, and the threshold dropped from £9,100 to £5,000. This raises employers’ payroll costs substantially.
- The British Retail Consortium warns that up to 160,000 part-time retail jobs could be lost over the next three years due to rising employer tax and minimum wage pressures.
Reuters - The Guardian reports that businesses in hospitality and retail are bracing for redundancies, layoffs, and reduced hiring.
- Minimum Wage Increase
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- The National Minimum Wage was raised to £12.21 per hour from April 2025.
- This, combined with the NIC hike, has added around £5 billion in labour costs for retailers in 2025.
- Rising Redundancies & Declining Confidence
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- A CIPD survey indicates UK firms are preparing for the largest wave of layoffs in a decade, driven by tax and wage pressures.
- The Centre for Retail Research forecasts worsening store closures and job losses across the sector.
- The Hospitality sector, including pubs and restaurants, has seen doubling of venues anticipating closures; 14% are now considering shutting down.
- Broader Employment Trends
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- UK payroll employment declined in July 2025 for the sixth consecutive month. Employers cut 8,000 jobs and job vacancies dropped by 44,000—a sign of continued economic strain.
- An S&P Global survey highlights that private sector employment contracted at its fastest pace since 2009—with employer NIC hikes and new employment rules cited as key factors.
- Employment Law and Workplace Rights Changes
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- The Employment Rights Bill, currently under discussion, is expected to introduce stronger day-one rights, enhanced protection against discrimination, and more robust requirements around workplace environments.
- The Worker Protection Act (2023), effective since October 2024, imposes new obligations on employers to proactively counter sexual harassment, including from customers and third parties.
- From 6 April 2025, employees can now avail neonatal leave and pay (up to 12 weeks) and miscarriage bereavement leave (2 weeks), with associated pay entitlements.
- Starting summer 2025, employees can report Child Benefit payments via PAYE, with High-Income Child Benefit Charge handled through tax code adjustments.
- Skills & Training Investment
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- The government committed £625 million over four years to train 60,000 tradespeople—such as bricklayers, electricians, engineers—to address skill shortages and support sector grow